AXL Capital Media

According to the model developed by the AXL Capital Management team, this report issues the projected levels of Gold prices for February 2020. The monthly tracking from January 2018 to January 2020 in the upper and lower ranges, all the values at the end of each month of the Gold prices are within the estimates. To date, the model operates within its 90% confidence limits. Graph # 1: Tracking model results vs. real Gold price data, monthly close (10 am LBM) February 2018- January 2020. The beginning of the year 2020 has a particular level of challenge for the model's estimates since the tensions between the USA and Iran increased the level of global uncertainty and with it, the market volatility registered in the VIX in January rose to levels above 16 and a New global threat with the virus crown weakened the Chinese Yuan and strengthened the dollar, however, Gold prices did not register greater volatility at the beginning of February 2020. VIX as of the date ...

According to the model developed by the AXL Capital Management team, this report issues the projected levels of Gold prices for January 2020. The monthly tracking from January 2018 to December 2019 in the upper and lower ranges, all the values at the end of each month of the Gold prices are within the estimates. To date, the model operates within its 90% confidence limits. Graph # 1: Tracking model results vs. real Gold price data, monthly close (10 am LBM) January 2018- Dec 2019. The beginning of the year 2020 has a particular level of challenge for the estimates of the model since the tensions between the USA and Iran increased the level of global uncertainty and with it, the volatility of the market registered in the VIX rose to levels higher than 16 at the beginning of this week, the above impacts on the price. However, as of the date of this report, the value of the VIX dropped to 12.38. Graph # 2: VIX volatility index. The daily timeframe fr...

The Latin American wealth of its metals Investors love the Latin American wealth of its base metals and precious metals. The blessed regions are Chile, Peru, Brazil, and Mexico. According to US Geological surveys, Chile has the largest copper and lithium reserves and is the seventh-largest in silver reserves. Peru has the largest silver reserves, it is the third world in copper and zinc reserves. Fourth largest in Nickel reserves and fifth largest in Gold reserves. For its part, Mexico has large reserves in fourth place for Zinc, fifth for lead and sixth in reserves for Copper and silver, likewise, Mexico is within of the 10 largest gold producing countries. Finally, Brazil has the second-largest reserve of iron minerals, a third-largest reserve of nickel, fourth largest reserve of tin, and seventh-largest reserve of gold. However, Latin America is likely to have more mining riches than statistics suggest as combinations of political and economic factors have avoided an ...

The so complex and elusive mathematical modeling of gold prices historically escapes in the short and long term the bases of supply and demand they do not allow themselves to be modeled overtime only by factors such as real inflation, the interest rate, the strength (or weakness) of the dollar registered in the DXY index or by the uncertainty levels of the VIX index. Mostly risk aversion or rejection measured as call and put options is one of the factors that monitor gold prices in the short term. In these times of IoT, big data and digitization, will it be possible to increase knowledge and more accurately model gold prices? Our team of professionals developed a stochastic model that correlates with the real data, adjusts with an R2 of 0.89, follows trends in Gold prices and is robust to the statistical criteria of independence, heteroscedasticity, and non-collinearity of the residuals. . The following graph shows the results of the model vs. the actual monthly data of Gold...