AXL Capital Media

The monthly tracking from January 2018 to March 2020 in the upper and lower range, all the values at the end of each month of the Gold prices are within the estimates. However, it should be noted that for the first time since the model operates, daily gold prices from March 16 to 24 exceeded the estimated lower limit, all other days real gold prices were within the established ranges. To date, the model operates within its 90% confidence limits. Graph # 1: Tracking model results vs. real Gold price data, monthly close (10 am LBM) January 2018- March 2020. Gold prices for March 2020 exhibited above-average volatilities, the closing of the borders between countries by the COVID-19 in the first place delayed gold, explained above due to massive sales of the gold medal to cover short positions in the stock market and seek and possess liquidity among investors and entrepreneurs. In this way, it is the first time that the lower...

Will Gold repeat or exceed the prices of the last recession of 2008? How will this increase the cash flow of the Gold mining companies, strengthen their financial position, their reinvestment options, their long-term strategies, and their benefits for their stakeholders and the joy of their shareholders? Gold has benefited from global uncertainty and risk aversion mainly due to the Washington-Beijing trade war and fears of the end of one of the longest bullish business cycles. The price of gold has risen by more than 16% this year. The big beneficiaries? Gold miners could see their income for this second semester (H2) of 2019 increase by 25 US $ million for every 100 KAuoz of production, considering a budget of the Gold price for 2019 at 1,200 US $ / Auoz and price of the final sale of US $ 1,450 / Auoz. In other words, for every 1 Million Auoz produced for this H2, income would rise by 250 MM the US $, only due to the effects of Gold prices. “Nice dilemma” for Gold miners, th...

According to the model developed by the AXL Capital Management team, this report issues the projected levels of Gold prices for March 2020. The monthly tracking from January 2018 to February 2020 in the upper and lower ranges, the closing prices of exchange to each month of the Gold prices are within the estimates. Just on 24 February, the exchange of ten am issued by the LBM was US $ 1,682 / Auoz just in the upper limit estimated by the model. All other days the real prices of Gold for February within the ranges established. To date, the model operates within its 90% confidence limits. Graph # 1: Tracking model results vs. real Gold price data, monthly close (10 am LBM) March 2018- February 2020. In February 2020, the level of global uncertainty continued to rise, this time being strongly impacted by the Coronavirus, and with it, the market volatility registered in VIX at the date of this report is at 54.6. Graph # 2: Gold prices broke the lower limit ...

According to the model developed by the AXL Capital Management team, this report issues the projected levels of Gold prices for February 2020. The monthly tracking from January 2018 to January 2020 in the upper and lower ranges, all the values at the end of each month of the Gold prices are within the estimates. To date, the model operates within its 90% confidence limits. Graph # 1: Tracking model results vs. real Gold price data, monthly close (10 am LBM) February 2018- January 2020. The beginning of the year 2020 has a particular level of challenge for the model's estimates since the tensions between the USA and Iran increased the level of global uncertainty and with it, the market volatility registered in the VIX in January rose to levels above 16 and a New global threat with the virus crown weakened the Chinese Yuan and strengthened the dollar, however, Gold prices did not register greater volatility at the beginning of February 2020. VIX as of the date ...

According to the model developed by the AXL Capital Management team, this report issues the projected levels of Gold prices for January 2020. The monthly tracking from January 2018 to December 2019 in the upper and lower ranges, all the values at the end of each month of the Gold prices are within the estimates. To date, the model operates within its 90% confidence limits. Graph # 1: Tracking model results vs. real Gold price data, monthly close (10 am LBM) January 2018- Dec 2019. The beginning of the year 2020 has a particular level of challenge for the estimates of the model since the tensions between the USA and Iran increased the level of global uncertainty and with it, the volatility of the market registered in the VIX rose to levels higher than 16 at the beginning of this week, the above impacts on the price. However, as of the date of this report, the value of the VIX dropped to 12.38. Graph # 2: VIX volatility index. The daily timeframe fr...

The Latin American wealth of its metals Investors love the Latin American wealth of its base metals and precious metals. The blessed regions are Chile, Peru, Brazil, and Mexico. According to US Geological surveys, Chile has the largest copper and lithium reserves and is the seventh-largest in silver reserves. Peru has the largest silver reserves, it is the third world in copper and zinc reserves. Fourth largest in Nickel reserves and fifth largest in Gold reserves. For its part, Mexico has large reserves in fourth place for Zinc, fifth for lead and sixth in reserves for Copper and silver, likewise, Mexico is within of the 10 largest gold producing countries. Finally, Brazil has the second-largest reserve of iron minerals, a third-largest reserve of nickel, fourth largest reserve of tin, and seventh-largest reserve of gold. However, Latin America is likely to have more mining riches than statistics suggest as combinations of political and economic factors have avoided an ...

The so complex and elusive mathematical modeling of gold prices historically escapes in the short and long term the bases of supply and demand they do not allow themselves to be modeled overtime only by factors such as real inflation, the interest rate, the strength (or weakness) of the dollar registered in the DXY index or by the uncertainty levels of the VIX index. Mostly risk aversion or rejection measured as call and put options is one of the factors that monitor gold prices in the short term. In these times of IoT, big data and digitization, will it be possible to increase knowledge and more accurately model gold prices? Our team of professionals developed a stochastic model that correlates with the real data, adjusts with an R2 of 0.89, follows trends in Gold prices and is robust to the statistical criteria of independence, heteroscedasticity, and non-collinearity of the residuals. . The following graph shows the results of the model vs. the actual monthly data of Gold...